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GamblersTalk.com

Thursday's MLB Betting Trends & Free Pick 5-11-17

Posted By: Kosmo (174.53.15.42)
Date: 5/11/2017 at 5:19 p.m. EST



FREE PICK: LA DODGERS -105 Courtesy Charlie Sports

LA DODGERS (20 - 14) at COLORADO (22 - 13) - 8:40 PM
HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. TYLER ANDERSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 116-91 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 9-22 (-13.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 48-54 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 22-28 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 81-70 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 29-34 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 60-54 (-12.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 4-15 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 36-47 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 22-13 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 16-8 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 50-53 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-2 (+2.7 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. COLORADO since 1997
RYU is 3-4 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.380.
His team's record is 3-4 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.7 units)

TYLER ANDERSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ANDERSON is 2-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.483.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (14 - 20) at ARIZONA (19 - 16) - 9:40 PM
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 67-86 (-29.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 43-59 (-21.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
COLE is 11-17 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 93-67 (+21.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
GREINKE is 50-21 (+17.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 120-67 (+38.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 90-47 (+30.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 62-25 (+30.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 19-39 (-20.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 826-748 (-102.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 9-21 (-15.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 582-539 (-78.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 32-48 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GERRIT COLE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
COLE is 2-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.421.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.5 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
GREINKE is 6-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.04 and a WHIP of 1.137.
His team's record is 7-3 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-2. (+5.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (18 - 15) at SAN FRANCISCO (12 - 23) - 10:15 PM
BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. TY BLACH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-23 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 415-379 (+54.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-23 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-36 (-18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 65-71 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-14 (-13.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-10 (-10.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
ARROYO is 8-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.60 and a WHIP of 1.230.
His team's record is 9-8 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.3 units)

TY BLACH vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BLACH is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 24.00 and a WHIP of 4.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (23 - 11) at NY YANKEES (21 - 10) - 7:05 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. MICHAEL PINEDA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 4-16 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 105-88 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 44-26 (+16.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 60-36 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 40-19 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 14-3 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KEUCHEL is 9-2 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 140-124 (-65.9 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
KEUCHEL is 4-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.41 and a WHIP of 0.761.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

MICHAEL PINEDA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
PINEDA is 2-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.121.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (17 - 17) at TORONTO (13 - 21) - 7:05 PM
CHASE DE JONG (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 159-196 (-51.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 82-95 (-27.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 48-31 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 107-98 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 63-64 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHASE DE JONG vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

MARCO ESTRADA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
ESTRADA is 1-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (12 - 21) at TAMPA BAY (17 - 19) - 1:10 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 0-8 (-8.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 1-11 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 26-48 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 18-36 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 199-174 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VARGAS is 24-13 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 85-113 (-33.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-13 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-45 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 (+1.9 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
VARGAS is 4-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.238.
His team's record is 4-6 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-7. (-5.2 units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
ODORIZZI is 1-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.477.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (16 - 14) at CHI WHITE SOX (15 - 16) - 8:10 PM
PHIL HUGHES (R) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 75-117 (-28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-62 (-19.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOLLAND is 31-11 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOLLAND is 6-0 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 (+0.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.2 Units)

PHIL HUGHES vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
HUGHES is 6-5 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.94 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 9-7 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-3.8 units)

DEREK HOLLAND vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
HOLLAND is 2-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.266.
His team's record is 4-5 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (16 - 16) at LA ANGELS (17 - 19) - 10:05 PM
MICHAEL FULMER (R) vs. JC RAMIREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 319-403 (-88.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 208-159 (+41.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 102-91 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FULMER is 23-9 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FULMER is 13-6 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MICHAEL FULMER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
FULMER is 1-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 0.789.
His team's record is 1-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

JC RAMIREZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (17 - 16) at MILWAUKEE (18 - 16) - 1:10 PM
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. JIMMY NELSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 659-595 (-82.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 91-105 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-9 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 34-23 (+20.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-0 (+2.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

JIMMY NELSON vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (22 - 11) at WASHINGTON (22 - 12) - 7:05 PM
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. A.J. COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 22-11 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 14-3 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-7 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 14-5 (+9.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 59-51 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 30-29 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+1.4 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

DYLAN BUNDY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
BUNDY is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

A.J. COLE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
COLE is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (13 - 22) at TEXAS (15 - 20) - 8:05 PM
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 12-34 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 110-90 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 52-31 (+22.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 62-38 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 37-20 (+14.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 40-28 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 81-61 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 63-46 (+16.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 63-74 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. TEXAS since 1997
RICHARD is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

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