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GamblersTalk.com

Thursday's MLB Gambling Trends & Free Pick 5-18-17

Posted By: Kosmo (174.53.15.42)
Date: 5/18/2017 at 1:28 p.m. EST



FREE PICK: TEXAS RANGERS -145 LP

WASHINGTON (25 - 14) at PITTSBURGH (17 - 23) - 12:35 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. TYLER GLASNOW (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 34-50 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 47-50 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 69-88 (-29.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 18-33 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.1 Units)

TANNER ROARK vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
ROARK is 2-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.98 and a WHIP of 0.951.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

TYLER GLASNOW vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
GLASNOW is 0-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (19 - 20) at CHICAGO CUBS (20 - 19) - 2:20 PM
AMIR GARRETT (L) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LESTER is 49-12 (+26.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1619-1705 (-261.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 865-796 (-155.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 404-369 (-83.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 832-853 (-158.5 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 780-834 (-183.1 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 782-747 (-157.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 4-1 (+2.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.2 Units)

AMIR GARRETT vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

JON LESTER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LESTER is 3-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.025.
His team's record is 9-1 (+6.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-2. (+4.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (23 - 18) at SAN DIEGO (15 - 27) - 3:40 PM
ZACH DAVIES (R) vs. JARRED COSART (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 29-23 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 23-18 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 18-13 (+8.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 35-72 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ZACH DAVIES vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
DAVIES is 2-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.89 and a WHIP of 0.947.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

JARRED COSART vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
COSART is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 0.96 and a WHIP of 1.393.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (14 - 25) at LA DODGERS (23 - 18) - 10:10 PM
EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R) vs. HYUN-JIN RYU (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 14-25 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 39-54 (-20.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 3-13 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
MIAMI is 8-21 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 19-3 (+15.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-15 (+14.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 119-95 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 83-73 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 61-56 (-14.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 3-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.649.
His team's record is 4-5 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+2.1 units)

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. MIAMI since 1997
RYU is 1-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (23 - 15) at DETROIT (19 - 19) - 1:10 PM
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 105-94 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 59-45 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 55-46 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 23-15 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 80-59 (+20.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

DYLAN BUNDY vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 2-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.82 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (24 - 13) at KANSAS CITY (16 - 23) - 8:15 PM
JORDAN MONTGOMERY (L) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 203-176 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 63-45 (+17.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 116-76 (+27.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 28-14 (+14.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 62-41 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 108-91 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 16-6 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

JORDAN MONTGOMERY vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

DANNY DUFFY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
DUFFY is 1-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 8.05 and a WHIP of 1.789.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (21 - 18) at OAKLAND (17 - 23) - 10:05 PM
HECTOR VELAZQUEZ (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 659-595 (-82.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 7-13 (-8.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 154-210 (-50.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 79-102 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 28-45 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 51-69 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 43-72 (-23.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
GRAY is 4-12 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 5-14 (-10.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

HECTOR VELAZQUEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

SONNY GRAY vs. BOSTON since 1997
GRAY is 0-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.260.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (17 - 21) at SEATTLE (19 - 22) - 10:10 PM
DYLAN COVEY (R) vs. SAM GAVIGLIO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 15-28 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 30-23 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 37-41 (-22.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 159-197 (-52.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 604-558 (-97.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 46-65 (-36.3 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
SEATTLE is 82-97 (-29.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 788-708 (-100.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DYLAN COVEY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

SAM GAVIGLIO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (25 - 15) at MINNESOTA (19 - 16) - 7:10 PM
TYLER CHATWOOD (R) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 300-412 (-101.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 108-197 (-65.7 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
COLORADO is 432-682 (-132.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
COLORADO is 25-15 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 12-5 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 53-55 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHATWOOD is 11-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 78-119 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-39 (-16.6 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 38-62 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 90-121 (-50.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 4-13 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 50-89 (-33.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-35 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TYLER CHATWOOD vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
CHATWOOD is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 8.67 and a WHIP of 2.248.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

JOSE BERRIOS vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (17 - 24) at ATLANTA (16 - 21) - 7:35 PM
MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 111-101 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 65-66 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 38-39 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
STROMAN is 19-23 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STROMAN is 8-15 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STROMAN is 5-14 (-16.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 41-41 (+13.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-8 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 24-47 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEHERAN is 1-10 (-10.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEHERAN is 5-17 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEHERAN is 7-20 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-0 (+3.5 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.2 Units)

MARCUS STROMAN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JULIO TEHERAN vs. TORONTO since 1997
TEHERAN is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 6.60 and a WHIP of 1.533.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (14 - 23) at TEXAS (21 - 20) - 2:05 PM
NICK PIVETTA (R) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 116-90 (+26.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 68-38 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 27-17 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 23-14 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 90-66 (+23.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 69-46 (+22.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-42 (+16.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 802-838 (+19.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

NICK PIVETTA vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

MARTIN PEREZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
PEREZ is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (25 - 15) at MINNESOTA (19 - 16) - 1:10 PM
GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

GERMAN MARQUEZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

ERVIN SANTANA vs. COLORADO since 1997
SANTANA is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.31 and a WHIP of 1.402.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

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