FREE PICK: TAMPA BAY -125 LP
National League
Cubs @ Nationals
Lester is 2-0, 2.70 in his last three starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Cubs are 3-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-8-2
Ross is 2-1, 3.76 in his last four starts (over 7-3). Washington is 5-1 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-3
Cubs are 6-15 in their last 21 road games; under is 10-2 in their last 12 games. Washington is 5-3 in its last eight games; under is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Mets @ Marlins
Lugo is 2-1, 4.19 in three starts (over 2-1); Mets 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-1
Urena is 3-0, 2.35 in his last four starts; over is 4-2-1 win his last seven. Miami is 4-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-2-1
Mets won four of their last five games; over is 11-4 in their last 15 games. Miami is 10-4 in last 14 home games; under is 6-1 in their last seven games.
Brewers @ Reds
Nelson is 1-1, 4.12 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Brewers are 3-3 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-9-1
Bailey allowed eight runs in 1.2 IP in his first 17 start- Reds 1st 5-inning record with him: 0-1
Milwaukee lost four of last five games; six of last seven Brewer games stayed under the total. Reds lost 14 of last 18 games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Cardinals @ Diamondbacks
Lynn is 0-2, 12.19 in his last two starts; over is 8-3 in his last 11. St Louis lost his last five road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-7-1
Corbin is 2-3, 6.91 in his last five starts (over 3-1-1). Arizona is 6-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-8-2
St Louis won three of last four games; over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. Arizona is 16-4 in its last 20 games; over is 8-5 in their last 13 home games.
Braves @ Padres
Garcia is 0-2, 6.20 in his last four starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Atlanta is 4-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-6-3
Lamet is 2-2, 7.50 in six starts this year, last four of which went over. Padres 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-4
Braves won eight of last 11 games; under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. San Diego won six of last eight home games; over is 3-1 in their last four games.
American League
Orioles @ Blue Jays
Jimenez is 1-2, 10.80 in his last four starts (over 8-1-1). Orioles are 2-3 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-6-1
Happ is 2-0, 1.86 in his last three starts (under 4-3-1). Toronto split her four home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-5
Orioles won three of their last four games; over is 8-4 in their last 12 road games. Toronto is 6-8 in its last 14 games; under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Twins @ Red Sox
Gibson is 1-1, 5.40 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Twins won his last five road starts- Twins 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-7-1
Price is 1-2, 6.14 in his last four starts (under 3-2-1). Bostons 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-3
Twins won six of last nine games; under is 13-6-1 in their last 20 games. Red Sox are 12-5 in their last 17 home games; under is 5-2 in their last seven home games.
Royals @ Tigers
Junis is 1-1, 6.26 in five starts this year (over 3-1-1). Royals 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-3
Fulmer is 1-5, 4.05 in his last six starts (under 4-2). Tigers are 4-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-6-1
Royals are 12-4 in last 16 games; over is 9-2-1 in their last 12 road games. Detroit lost nine of last 11 games; five of their last seven games went over.
Rangers @ Indians
Cashner is 1-2, 5.29 in his last three starts; Rangers are 2-5 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-4-3
Kluber is 3-0, 1.80 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Indians are 4-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-6
Rangers are 9-4 in last 13 road games; under is 11-3 in their last 14 road games. Cleveland lost four of last six games; seven of last eight Indian games stayed under the total.
As @ Astros
Cotton is 2-0, 2.38 in his last two starts; under is 3-1-2 in his last six. Oakland is 3-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him:
Peacock is 2-2, 3.81 in six starts this year (under 4-2). Astros 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-2
As are 8-5 in last 13 games; over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 road games. Houston won seven of last nine games; over is 5-1 in their last six games.
New York @ White Sox
Cessa is 0-2, 7.00 in two starts this year (under 2-0). New Yorks 1st 5-inning record with him: 0-2
Shields is 0-1, 9.35 in his last two starts (over 3-2). Chicagos 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-2-1
New York lost 11 of last 15 games; over is 9-5 in their last 14 games. Chicago lost eight of last ten games; five of their last eight games stayed under the total.
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Interleague
Rays @ Pirates
Archer is 1-2, 4.68 in his last four starts (over 10-6). Tampa Bay is 4-3 in their road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-2-5
Taillon is 1-2, 5.14 in his last four starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Pirates are 1-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-3-3
Rays lost three of last four games; seven of last nine Tampa Bay games went over the total. Pittsburgh lost four of last six home games; under is 7-2 in their last nine home games.
Dodgers @ Angels
Kershaw is 4-0, 3.08 in his last four starts; under is 4-3 in his road starts. Dodgers won his last six road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 11-2-3
Ramirez is 2-2, 6.84 in his last five starts (under 9-5). Angels are 4-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-5-4
Angels won four of last five games; their last five games stayed under. Dodgers won 11 of their last 13 games; five of last six LA games stayed under.
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Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Chi-Wsh: Lester 9-7; Ross 7-3
NY-Mia: Lugo 2-1; Urena 7-3
Mil-Cin: Nelson 7-8; Bailey 0-1
StL-Az: Lynn 6-9; Corbin 8-7
Atl-SD: Garcia 7-7; Lamet 4-2
American League
Balt-Tor: Jimenez 6-4; Happ 3-5
Minn-Bos: Gibson 7-6; Price 3-3
KC-Det: Junis 4-1; Fulmer 7-7
Tex-Clev: Cashner 5-7; Kluber 7-4
As-Hst: Cotton 5-8; Peacock 4-2
NY-Chi: Cessa 0-2; Shields 2-3
Interleague
TB-Pitt: Archer 9-7; Taillon 4-5
LA-LAA: Kershaw 14-2; Ramirez 9-5
Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Chi-Wsh: Lester 7-16; Ross 4-10
NY-Mia: Lugo 2-3; Urena 1-10
Mil-Cin: Nelson 3-15; Bailey 1-1
StL-Az: Lynn 6-15; Corbin 9-15
Atl-SD: Garcia 3-14; Lamet 2-6
American League
Balt-Tor: Jimenez 4-10; Happ 2-8
Minn-Bos: Gibson 3-13; Price 2-6
KC-Det: Junis 1-5; Fulmer 4-14
Tex-Clev: Cashner 4-12; Kluber 2-11
As-Hst: Cotton 5-13; Peacock 1-6
NY-Chi: Cessa 1-2; Shields 2-5
Interleague
TB-Pitt: Archer 4-16; Taillon 2-9
LA-LAA: Kershaw 4-16; Ramirez 9-14
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Umpires
National League
Chi-Wsh: Under is 5-0-1 in last six Fairchild games.
NY-Mia: Under is 7-1-1 in Blakney games this season.
Mil-Cin: Three of last four Culbreth games stayed under.
StL-Az: Over is 5-3-1 in last nine Holbrook games.
Atl-SD: Five of last six Reynolds games went over.
American League
Balt-Tor: Home team is 12-0 in Whitson games this year.
Minn-Bos: This is only 2nd MLB game behind plate for Additon
KC-Det: Six of last eight Iassogna games went over.
Tex-Clev: Under is 5-3-1 in last nine Drake games.
As-Hst: Over is 8-2 in last ten Cederstrom games.
NY-Chi: This is only 2nd MLB game behind plate for Lidka
Interleague
TB-Pitt: Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Emmel games.
LA-LAA: Over is 6-2-2 in last ten Woodring games.
Interleague play
NL @ AL 41-24 AL, favorites -$247
AL @ NL 40-39 AL, favorites -$892
Total: 79-58 AL, favorites -$1,139
Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 41-27-2
AL @ NL: Over 43-31-2
Total: Over 84-58-4
Teams records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 6/28/17
Ariz 14-15-9
24-125
.37-27
Atl 16-17-4
16-21-4
..32-38
Cubs 16-22-1
18-15-5
..34-37
Reds 11-24-3
16-202
27-44
Colo 25-14-5
.19-16-2
.44-30
LA 15-16-5
.28-13-3
.43-29
Miami 14-19-2
.21-15-4
..35-34
Milw 18-13-6
.19-18-6
37-31
Mets 20-16-1
..17-21-2
37-37
Philly 10-25-7
11-17-6
.21-42
Pitt 18-18-3
..14-18-7
..32-36
St. Louis 16-16-3
21-12-7
.37-28
SD 9-24-5
.19-174
28-41
SF 8-28-7
..17-18-4
..28-46
Wash 28-10-2
19-15-3
..47-25
Orioles 12-22-5
..17-18-3
29-40
Boston 16-19-5
18-18-2
.34-37
White Sox 14-24-6
..16-152
..30-38
Cleveland 20-15-4
..16-18-4
..35-33
Detroit 16-20-5
.17-15-4
..33-35
Astros 20-11-7
..23-15-3
..43-26
KC 13-18-6
17-16-7
.30-34
Angels 16-21-7
17-13-7
33-34
Twins 21-10-3
15-20-6
..36-30
NYY 18-18-3
.22-12-2
..
40-30
As 12-21-5
..17-14-8
..29-35
Seattle 12-21-5
..21-15-6
..33-36
TB 17-13-8
..26-10-6
..43-23
Texas 20-11-7
..17-15-7
37-26
Toronto 14-22-3
..12-18-6
..26-40
%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 6/28/17)
Ariz 12-38
..16-41
.28
Atl 8-36
..11-41
19
Cubs 12-40
..16-38
.28
Reds 14-38
..17-39
.31
Colo 10-44
..10-37..
.20
LA 9-36
..17-43..
..26
Miami 13-35
..14-40
27
Milw 14-37
18-43
..
..32
Mets 16-36
..15-39
.31
Philly 13-43
..9-34
..22
Pitt 11-39
..13-39
.24
StL 10-36
..12-40
.22
SD 17-38
..12-38
29
SF 8-46
..11-37
.19
Wash 15-40
..18-38
33
Orioles 5-39
..15-39
.20
Boston 12-40
..10-37
22
White Sox 14-44
.9-33
.23
Clev 9-40
..13-38
.22
Detroit 8-41
.16-36
24
Astros 12-38
..18-41
30
KC 6-37
..6-38
12
Angels 18-45
.10-38
28
Twins 8-35
..11-42
.19
NYY 10-39
..13-37
.23
As 7-39
..12-40
.19
Seattle 15-38
.15-43
30
TB 11-38
..19-42
30
Texas 12-39
..18-39
30
Toronto 11-39
..8-38
..19
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